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Berrettini vs Rublev U.S. Open live streaming, preview and tips - Rublev targets spot in second U.S. Open quarter-final

Andrew Hendrie in ATP Tour 2 Sep 2019
  • Matteo Berrettini vs Andrey Rublev is live from the US Open around 12.30pm local time on Monday (5.30pm BST)
  • Their head-to-head is level at 1-1
Andrey Rublev (PA Images)

Andrey Rublev aims to reach his second U.S. Open quarter-final when he takes on hard-hitting Italian Matteo Berrettini in the fourth round on Monday.

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Andrey Rublev has already taken out two seeded players to make the U.S. Open fourth round - can he defeat another in No. 24 Matteo Berrettini and return to the quarter-finals at Flushing Meadows on Monday?

After a horror run with injuries, Rublev has returned to his best tennis over the last couple of months, and he’s continued his resurgence over the last week at the U.S. Open, recording impressive victories over eighth seed Stefanos Tsitsipas and 28th seed Nick Kyrgios either side of benefitting from a retirement in the second round from Gilles Simon. Rublev was ultra solid in his 7-6(5), 7-6(5), 6-3 dispatch of Washington champion Kyrgios on Saturday night, withstanding 30 aces from the Aussie and recovering from 0-4 down in the second set tiebreak to break his opponent’s spirit. That tiebreak was the turning point in the match, with Kyrgios always going to find it difficult to bounce back from the disappointment of wasting a big lead in the tiebreak and then being confronted with the thought of needing to win the next three sets to advance.

"The tie-break, even though it looks like 4/0 is a huge difference, if you win one point then make two good serves it's already 4/3," Rublev said. "And then 4/3 someone [can] get tight or a lucky return or unlucky serve or a lucky serve. It looks like a big advantage, but in the end it's not really."

Rublev was actually the first member of the ‘Next Gen’ to make a Grand Slam quarter-final when he did so at the 2017 U.S. Open (becoming the youngest U.S. Open quarter-finalist since Andy Roddick in 2001 when he beat Grigor Dimitrov), which contributed to a career-high ranking of No. 31 in the early stages of 2018, but unfortunately the 21-year-old has been struck down by injuries ever since - firstly suffering from stress fractures in his lower back last year, which caused him to miss several months, while he was also sidelined for six weeks this year with a wrist injury.

Rublev, who won his first ATP title as a lucky loser in Umag in 2017, dropped out of the top 100 briefly this season as a result, but he managed to get back inside the top 50 last month when he scored his first top five win over Dominic Thiem to make his maiden ATP 500 final in Hamburg, losing to Nikoloz Basilashvili, while he posted his second top five scalp in Cincinnati to reach his maiden Masters 1000 quarter-final, taking out Roger Federer in straight sets before going down to eventual champion and childhood friend Daniil Medvedev. Rublev would go on to make the Winston-Salem quarter-finals in the week prior to the U.S. Open, and courtesy of his run to at least the fourth round, he’s projected to break back into the top 40 - and if he can make the quarter-finals, he will crack the top 30 for the first time.

Matteo Berrettini (PA Images)
But he will have to make it past the rising Matteo Berrettini to do so. The Italian is playing the U.S. Open main draw for just the second time in his career, but he’s already advanced to the second week, overcoming former top 10 star Richard Gasquet and two Australians - Jordan Thompson and Alexei Popyrin - in four sets. Berrettini showcased great resilience against rising star Popyrin in the third round on Saturday, with the young Aussie serving to force a fifth set at 6-5, but the Italian played a brilliant return game to break back and continued that momentum into the tiebreak, racing through it to complete a 6-4 6-4 6-7(3) 7-6(2) victory.

Ranked outside the top 400 at the start of the 2017 season, Berrettini has put together an underrated rise and could break into the top 20 courtesy of his run at Flushing Meadows this week, depending on other results. The 23-year-old won his first Grand Slam match at Roland Garros last year as he made the third round and also picked up his first ATP World Tour title on the clay of Gstaad soon after, taking out the likes of Rublev, Feliciano Lopez and Radu Albot before beating Roberto Bautista Agut in the final. Berrettini would end 2018 at No. 54 in the world with a 19-19 record, but he’s taken his game to another level in 2019, arriving at the U.S. Open with a superb 29-15 record, winning two more ATP titles in Stuttgart and Budapest, along with finishing runner-up in Munich, making semi-finals in Sofia and Halle and advancing to the fourth round at Wimbledon.

As mentioned, Berrettini beat Rublev in their first meeting on his way to the Budapest title, but the Russian got his revenge with a straight sets victory on indoor hardcourts in Marseille at the start of the season. For me, Rublev is the favourite here. He’s back to his best form and has played the better opponents so far this tournament, while Berrettini could easily have bowed out to Popyrin if the Aussie had snatched that fourth set. Rublev was so solid and composed against Kyrgios, and with Berrettini possessing a similar game in terms of big serving and groundstrokes, he’ll be well equipped to deal with everything the Italian throws at home. I’m backing the Russian to make a second U.S. Open quarter-final.

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Berrettini vs Rublev U.S. Open live streaming, preview and tips - Rublev targets spot in second U.S. Open quarter-final

Andrey Rublev aims to reach his second U.S. Open quarter-final when he takes on hard-hitting Italian Matteo Berrettini in the fourth round on Monday.

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