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Medvedev vs Gerasimov ATP St. Petersburg Preview, Predictions and Live Streaming: Medvedev targets fifth consecutive final

Leye Aduloju in ATP Tour 20 Sep 2019
  • Daniil Medvedev vs Egor Gerasimov is live from St. Petersburg on Saturday, 21 September from 3:30pm local time/ 1:30pm BST
  • Medvedev leads 2-1 in all career meetings
Daniil Medvedev (Photo by Alexander Demianchuk/TASS)

Daniil Medvedev's incredible run of form is showing no signs of abating, and the Russian will attempt to reach a fifth consecutive final when he plays Belarusian qualifier, Egor Gerasimov in St. Petersburg on Saturday. 

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Medvedev has won 22 of his last 25 matches, reaching finals in Washington, Montreal, Cincinnati and the US Open. Will he keep that stunning streak going by reaching the St. Petersburg final on Saturday?

Following on from a terrific run to the US Open final, where he showed remarkable resilience and mental fortitude in battling through physical problems and a hostile crowd, coming within touching distance of pulling off a monumental comeback win against Rafael Nadal in an epic final, Medvedev has maintained his relentless winning habits in St. Petersburg, showing no signs any post Flushing Meadows hangover.

He has got through his two matches in straight sets, beating Evgeny Donskoy 7-5 6-3 in his opening match, and taking out compatriot, Andrey Rublev 6-4 7-5 in the quarter finals. He was made to work very hard for his win over Rublev, who led by a break in both sets, but just like he showed through the North American summer, Medvedev has almost forgotten how to lose.

From 1-3 down in the first set, the world No. 4 won five of the next six games to take the opener, but Rublev looked set to force a final set when he served for the second set at 5-3. Medvedev wouldn't have any of that, as he reeled off the next four games to pull off the win after an hour and 40 minutes.

The Nitto ATP Finals- bound Russian is into his 11th semi-final of the season, and will attempt to reach his eight final of the year on Saturday. It's very tough and unfair to pick holes in Medvedev's 2019 record, but if there's one area he would want to improve upon, it is his conversion rate in finals. Medvedev has won just two of the five finals he's contested this year, in Sofia and Cincinnati, where he claimed his maiden Masters 1000 title. He has lost title matches in Brisbane, Barcelona, and most recently, Washington, Montreal and the US Open.

Standing between the top seed and another final this week is Belarusian qualifier, Egor Gerasimov.

Gerasimov is into his first tour-level semi-final, after upsetting third seed, Matteo Berrettini 7-6 7-6 in the last eight on Friday.

Gerasimov and Berrettini carved out nine break points between themselves, with the Belarusian having six of those chances, but neither man could force a break of serve throughout the match. However, Gerasimov played the better tie break in both sets to score the surprise win over the world No. 13.

It was the biggest career victory for the world No. 119, who is projected to break into the top 100 for the first time by virtue of this semi-final run.

Prior to St. Petersburg, Gerasimov had won just two tour-level main draw matches in 2019, against Robin Haase in Dubai, and Lloyd Harris at the US Open, but he has already beaten that tally in one swoop in Russia, taking out Lukas Rosol, Adrian Mannarino and Matteo Berrettini without dropping a set. He had earlier defeated Alejandro Tabilo and Roman Safiullin in the qualifying rounds.

While Gerasimov struggled on the main tour, he kept his ranking steady with some decent showings on the Challenger tour, winning the title in Recanati and making semi-finals in Shymkent and Aptos.

Having taken out US Open semi-finalist Berrettini in the previous round, can he somehow produce an even biggest win over US Open finalist, Medvedev in Saturday's final? Both men have met thrice before, but never in an ATP main draw. Gerasimov won an ITF encounter in Belarus in 2015, but Medvedev scored two victories in 2018, in the qualifying rounds in Tokyo, and a Davis Cup tie in Russia.

I didn't think Gerasimov would get past Berrettini on Friday, and I certainly don't expect him to upset Medvedev on Saturday. What Medvedev has over Berrettini is a much better return of serve, and a much better defence. Those two factors, along with his firepower in offence should prove too good for Gerasimov.

Daniil Medvedev vs Egor Gerasimov is live from St. Petersburg on Saturday, 21 September from 3:30pm local time/ 1:30pm BST

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Medvedev vs Gerasimov ATP St. Petersburg Preview, Predictions and Live Streaming: Medvedev targets fifth consecutive final

Daniill Medvedev's incredible form continues, with the Russian aiming to reach a fifth straight final when he plays qualifier, Egor Gerasimov on Saturday. Read our preview, predictions and stream the match live online

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