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Serena Williams vs Osaka US Open Final Analyses: What the numbers say

Leye Aduloju in WTA Tour 8 Sep 2018
  • Serena Williams takes on Naomi Osaka in the US Open final on Saturday, 8 September, live from 4:00pm local time/ 9:00pm BST
  • We examine their respective stats ahead of Saturday's final

Serena Williams' serving could be the difference on Saturday. (Photo by EDUARDO MUNOZ ALVAREZ/AFP/Getty Images)

Ahead of the US Open women's singles final between Serena Williams and Naomi Osaka, we look through their respective campaigns and bring out the key numbers and stats from both women.

Serena and Osaka are not too dissimilar in their styles. The two finalists like to get on the front foot, employing their big serves and groundstrokes to dominate their opponents. Their respective routes to the final have also been very identical, with both dropping one set- in the fourth round- in their six matches so far. But who has executed better over the last fortnight?

Serena Williams vs Naomi OSaka US Open 2018 Stats

Serena WilliamsNaomi Osaka
12-1Sets Won/Lost12-1
76-31Games Won/Lost74-28
15Double Faults8
127Unforced Errors108
27/46Break Points Converted28/46
17/23Break Points Saved24/28
50/70Net Points Won23/27

Unsurprisingly, Serena clearly has the edge in the serving department, hitting significantly more aces than Osaka. That could be a huge factor in the outcome of Saturday's final. Also noteworthy is the fact that Serena has played a cleaner tournament than Osaka, with her winner count massively outweighing the number of unforced errors she has committed. Osaka hasn't only hit far less winners than Serena, she is also in the negative in the winners-unforced errors ratio. In a match-up between two aggressive players, that ratio is hugely significant. If the Japanese young gun is going to win the 2018 US Open, she will have to improve in that department, because Serena isn't giving much away.

Both ladies have been very good at saving break points, Osaka especially in the last match against Madison Keys, when she saved all 13 break points she faced against the American. Serena saved 10 from 12 in her quarter final against Karolina Pliskova.

Another key point from the stats is the number of net points won, with Serena again dominating that department. However, Serena's stats are skewed by her last match against Sevastova, when she visited the net 28 times in just over an hour, winning 24 of those points. It remains to be seen if she will adopt the same strategy against Osaka on Saturday. It may not be a bad ploy, given how heavy she strikes the ball! Osaka has been a lot more conservative with her trips to the net, but when she has gone forward, she has been very effective, winning 23 of 27 points at the net.

Serena clearly has the edge here, particularly with her serving stats, and if she plays at the level at which she has operated for most of the tournament, the 23-time Grand Slam champion should be too strong for Osaka.

Serena Williams vs Naomi Osaka is live from New York on Saturday, 8 September, from 4:00pm local time/ 9:00pm BST. Read the full match preview here.

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Serena Williams vs Osaka US Open Final Analyses: What the numbers say

The key numbers and stats from Serena Williams and Naomi Osaka at the 2018 US Open as they meet in Sunday's final

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