French Open 2020: Men’s singles draw analysis, preview and predictions

Can Novak Djokovic deny Rafael Nadal a thirteenth French Open title?

We break down the men’s singles draw, analyse the contenders and predict the semifinalists and champion as Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and Dominic Thiem lead the draw at the 2020 US Open.

Rafael Nadal faces Novak Djokovic in the French Open final on Sunday 11 October – read our match analysis and predictions here.

French Open 2020: Preview

No man has ever ruled the French Open, also known as Roland Garros, like 12-time champion Nadal, who has only ever lost two matches there.

But the 2020 French Open will be different – it’s being played in chilly, damp autumn instead of the sunshine and heat of June, and at best only limited spectators will be allowed, with players enclosed in a bio-security bubble.

Can Nadal adapt to these new conditions, and his own lack of match practice, or will one of his challengers wrest the Coupe des Mousquetaires from his grasp?

US Open Semifinals

Novak Djokovic (1) vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (5), 5pm local/4pm BST

World no. 1 Novak Djokovic faces Stefanos Tsitsipas, playing his second Grand Slam semifinal, as Djokovic attempts to reach the final of the French Open for the fifth time.

Djokovic comes into the match with physical concerns, having struggled in his quarterfinal against Pablo Carreno Busta. Djokovic took to the court with his neck taped and clearly suffering from pain and stiffness in his left arm. He dropped the first set to Carreno Busta – the first set he has lost in the tournament – but won 4-6, 6-2, 6-3, 6-4 and said afterwards that the pain faded as his body warmed up.

Read full match analysis and get head-to-head stats and more on Djokovic vs Tsitsipas.

Tsitsipas, in contrast, looked just the right combination of relaxed and intense as he faced Andrey Rublev in what was not just the Greek’s first Grand Slam quarterfinal since his initial breakthrough semifinal run at the Australian Open in 2019, but a rematch of the Hamburg Open final which Tsitsipas had served for and then ended up losing a few weeks before. But a polished performance by Tsitsipas saw him claim his first win over Rublev in four attempts, his all-court game leaving the Russian looking one-dimensional and his backhand standing up to the Rublev forehand better than it has before.

Tsitsipas has beaten Djokovic before, but not on clay, and most crucially not over the best-of-five sets. Djokovic has obvious physical concerns, but even if he loses the first set against Tsitsipas, he’ll always be favoured to play his way into the match. You can’t say the same for Tsitsipas.

Rafael Nadal (2) vs Diego Schwartzman (12), 2.50pm local/1.50pm BST

Nadal has never won the French Open when he came in without winning a title on clay, although that stat is a little misleading – all bets are off in this strangest season, after all (though not literally). He has still only lost two matches at Roland Garros, and it’s hard to avoid the conclusion that although he played abysmally in losing to Schwartzman in Rome, the 12-time champion has had exactly the draw he needs to play himself in.

Nadal dropped only 23 games in reaching the quarterfinals, beating Egor Gerasimov, Mackenzie McDonald, Stefano Travaglia and young qualifier Sebastian Korda all without turning a hair, pretty much; and he’s adapted his game to the slower, colder conditions, flattening out the cross-court backhand in particular. His sternest test of the tournament came against 19-year-old Italian Jannik Sinner, who had eliminated David Goffin in the first round and Alexander Zverev in the fourth; Sinner served for the first set, had a break lead in the second, but still lost in straight sets, Nadal winning 7-6(4), 6-4, 6-1.

Read full match analysis and get live streaming information for Nadal vs Schwartzman.

Meanwhile, Diego Schwartzman earlier that day played for over five hours to knock out Dominic Thiem, in a match which was both a very impressive win – Thiem was looking for his fifth straight semifinal or better at the French Open – and also something of a missed opportunity for Schwartzman, who arguably could and should have won in straight sets.

If he had, he would have been at less of a physical disadvantage coming into the semifinal against Nadal, although both players do have two days to recover.

Schwartzman beat Nadal in Rome in straight sets, his first victory over the Spaniard in ten attempts. But it’s difficult to see him repeating the feat. Nadal served abysmally in Rome, and didn’t play well off the ground, while Schwartzman was inspired and aggressive. If Nadal plays even 20% better, Schwartzman will be forced back off the court and unable to dictate and the match will follow familiar patterns – the Argentine could come out and absolutely redline for a set and maybe take it, but will be unable to keep up the pressure over the best of five.

French Open 2020: Prediction

Semifinals:

Djokovic d. Tsitsipas
Nadal d. Schwartzman

Final:

Nadal d. Djokovic

Rafael Nadal targets a thirteenth French Open semifinal appearance as he takes on Jannik Sinner, the Italian teenager making his Roland Garros debut, in the quarterfinals.

Nadal vs Sinner is live from Roland Garros on Tuesday 6 October, 7pm local/6pm BST

At 19, Jannik Sinner is the youngest player since 2006 to make the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam and the first player since Rafael Nadal himself to reach the last eight at the French Open on his debut appearance – but he’s up against the man himself now.

French Open 2020: Find out tournament information for Roland Garros 2020 and how to stream French Open matches live

Despite dire predictions about how Nadal would struggle to deal with the conditions, the 12-time champion is yet to drop a set and has lost only 23 games in four matches. Could Sinner be the first player to meaningfully test him?

Read on for our preview, predictions and live streaming information.

How to watch Nadal vs Sinner live

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Nadal vs Sinner: Head-to-head

This is the first meeting between Rafael Nadal and Jannik Sinner.

Nadal vs Sinner: Preview

It would make for a splendid story if Rafael Nadal were to lose to the first player to make the French Open quarterfinals on his debut since Nadal himself, but it doesn’t look too likely to happen.

We haven’t really seen Nadal face a tough opponent so far at the French Open – not that there any many tough opponents for Nadal at the French Open – with his trickiest test so far against world no. 83 Egor Gerasimov in the first round, who won ten of the 23 games Nadal has conceded so far at the tournament; that probably had more to do with conditions and the need to adjust to them than anything else. Young qualifier Sebastian Korda certainly didn’t manage to make much of an impact on Nadal’s game in the last 16, losing 1-6, 1-6, 2-6 (although what else can be expected when a player asks his opponent for their autograph after the match).

Nadal’s adaptability has been on full display so far: He’s flattened out his shots, especially on the cross-court backhand, and adjusted his court positioning for maximum impact. He hasn’t faced a single break point in two of his matches so far, although he was broken by both Gerasimov and Korda – once.

Jannik Sinner (JBAutissier/Panoramic.)

The question is how all of this will hold up against a tougher opponent – Nadal looked pretty good in Rome, too, until he came up against Diego Schwartzman – and whether or not Sinner can be that opponent.

The Italian teenager broke into the top 100 at the end of last year after winning the Ortisei Challenger (his third Challenger title of the season) and went on to win the Next Gen ATP Finals. Like Stefanos Tsitsipas, who preceded him as Next Gen champion, Sinner’s rise promises to be swift; a quarterfinalist in Rotterdam earlier this year, he got his second top-10 win of the year over Tsitsipas himself in Rome and has only dropped one set on his way to the French Open quarterfinals, against Alexander Zverev in the last 16.

Against Zverev, Sinner didn’t just showcase his blazing power; he had a smart game plan and he executed it consistently, refusing to be drawn into a grindfest and managing his energy much better than he was able to do at the US Open in his five-set defeat to Karen Khachanov. I actually think the Italian can cause Nadal some problems, if he handles the match well emotionally; the forehand battle in particular should be one to watch and Sinner’s attacking game can rock even Nadal back on his heels – for a little while. Nadal will win, but perhaps Sinner can push the scoreline to respectable levels.

Nadal vs Sinner: Prediction

Dominic Thiem must find a way past the dogged Diego Schwartzman if he is to reach the French Open semifinals for the fifth straight year.

Thiem vs Schwartzman is live from Roland Garros on Tuesday 6 October, 3pm local/2pm BST

Two of the most in-form players in the world clash for a place in the French Open semifinals on Tuesday as Rome runner-up Diego Schwartzman tries to end the 11-match winning streak of US Open champion Dominic Thiem.

French Open 2020: Find out tournament information for Roland Garros 2020 and how to stream French Open matches live

Thiem has made the semifinals or better at the French Open for the past four years and has a 6-2 head-to-head against Schwartzman, but looked tired in a five-set battle with Hugo Gaston – is this Schwartzman’s chance to make a first Grand Slam semifinal?

Read on for our preview, predictions and live streaming information.

How to watch Thiem vs Schwartzman live

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Thiem vs Schwartzman: Head-to-head

Dominic Thiem leads the head-to-head with Diego Schwartzman 6-2. On clay, Thiem leads 3-1. Schwartzman’s most recent win over Thiem came in the Argentina Open semifinals in February 2019. Thiem’s most recent win over Schwartzman came at the ATP Cup in January when Thiem won in straight sets.

Thiem vs Schwartzman: Preview

Dominic Thiem has established a formidable record of excellence at the French Open, making the semifinals in 2016-17 and finishing runner-up to Rafael Nadal in 2018-19, and despite some question marks over his physical, mental and emotional fitness after winning his maiden Grand Slam title in New York, is one match away from making the semifinals for the fifth straight year, the kind of consistency that only the titans Nadal, Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer have been able to display at Roland Garros over the past decade or so.

But Thiem also looks vulnerable. There have been patches of poor decision-making during his first three matches at the French Open, indicating a lack of mental sharpness. Marin Cilic, Jack Sock and Casper Ruud all arguably should have won a set from the Austrian, and when Thiem came up against Hugo Gaston in the fourth round, he finally paid the price for being somewhat ragged. The world no. 239, who had beaten Stan Wawrinka in the previous round, made Thiem pay for his deep court positioning with a relentless routine of drop shots and lobs, and Thiem seemed powerless to do much except keep hammering away from the baseline. Eventually he outlasted the wildcard in the fifth set, but it’s starting to look like a question of how many second winds Thiem can find.

Diego Schwartzman (PA Images)

Schwartzman, meanwhile, has a clear physical advantage after not dropping a set, although he hasn’t had the toughest draw with the possible exception of Kitzbuhel champion Miomir Kecmanovic in the opening round. The Argentine can take a lot of inspiration from the Gaston playbook: He hasn’t got the fantastic hands of Gaston, but he can utilise his speed and court coverage and play creatively to make Thiem look one-dimensional, too. Schwartzman is also on fantastic form right now, having dazzled with his victory over a very poor Nadal in Rome and gone on to reach the final; he doesn’t have anything like the power of Thiem, on serve or off the ground, but he is getting better and better at finding ways to generate that pace. I’m not sure he’ll ever have a better opportunity to beat Thiem than he does on Tuesday.

Thiem vs Schwartzman: Prediction

Favourites Rafael Nadal, Dominic Thiem and Diego Schwartzman all look set to record straight-set victories in the fourth round of the French Open on day eight.

Three of the world’s best clay-court players take to the court on day eight of the French Open 2020 to face unseeded opponents, looking to book places in the quarterfinals in Paris. Here’s how we see those matches playing out on Sunday 4 October.

Read on for our preview and predictions for Nadal vs Korda, Thiem vs Gaston and Schwartzman vs Sonego.

Rafael Nadal (2) vs Sebastian Korda (Q)

When: Court Philippe-Chatrier, 1pm local/11am BST

Head-to-head: First meeting

Preview: Despite dire forewarnings about how Rafael Nadal might struggle to adjust to the very different conditions of an autumnal French Open, the 12-time champion is doing what champions do: Adapting. Nadal has flattened out his shots, particularly his backhand cross-court, is serving well and has dropped just 19 games in three matches.

Sebastian Korda, son of two professional players including 1998 Australian Open champion Petr Korda, has now won six matches at Roland Garros to qualify for the main draw and make the fourth round on his first appearance at the French Open. But the 20-year-old has only ever beaten one player ranked inside the top 50. He’s a bright talent but Nadal should not give up any more games than he has in his last two matches (four and five, respectively).

Nadal vs Korda prediction: Nadal -11.5 games

Dominic Thiem (3) vs Hugo Gaston (WC)

When: Court Philippe-Chatrier, 5pm local/4pm BST

Head-to-head: First meeting

Preview: Twenty years old and ranked world no. 239, needing a wildcard to get into the French Open, Hugo Gaston was not a player many anticipated seeing in the last 16, even after he beat fellow wildcard Maxime Janvier and Japan’s Yoshihito Nishioka to reach the third round.

Hugo Gaston (PA Images)

But against 2015 French Open champion Stan Wawrinka, Gaston pulled off what was arguably the upset win of the tournament so far, beating Wawrinka 2-6, 6-3, 6-3, 4-6, 6-0 to make the last 16. At 5’8” Gaston is neither the tallest nor the most physically imposing player and he certainly couldn’t match Wawrinka’s power off the ground, which was supposed to be his big advantage in this tournament, but Gaston is a great mover, he showed real creativity and outlasted, outran and out-maneouvred Wawrinka.

Will the same tactics work against Thiem? In many ways, Thiem is a player in the same mould as Wawrinka, and he hasn’t looked flawless so far despite not dropping a set – all three of his opponents so far really should have won at least one set against him. They didn’t, though, and the US Open champion’s confidence is supreme. Gaston might – might – get a set. But no more.

Prediction:

Diego Schwartzman (12) vs Lorenzo Sonego

Diego Schwartzman (PA Images)

When: Court Suzanne-Lenglen, 2pm local/1pm BST

Head-to-head: First meeting

Preview: Admittedly not quite in the league of 12-time champion Nadal and two-time runner-up Thiem, Diego Schwartzman has nevertheless made himself into a force to be reckoned with on clay, particularly this year when he made his first Masters 1000 Series final in Rome by beating Nadal himself and then Denis Shapovalov to boot.

The Argentine is now looking to make his fourth career Grand Slam quarterfinal and second at the French Open, where he handled a potentially tricky opener against Kitzbuhel champion Miomir Kecmanovic with aplomb before giving neither qualifier Lorenzo Giustino nor Norbert Gombos a chance to find their feet.

Sonego, 25 years old, is at a career-high ranking of world no. 46 after some very strong results on clay in 2019, including a quarterfinal appearance at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters, a semifinal in Kitzbuhel and a win at the Geneva Challenger; he also won his first ATP Tour title on grass in Antalya. He beat Emilio Gomez, Alexander Bublik and Taylor Fritz – three very varied opponents – to reach the last 16, and he’s playing well; this might go longer than three sets.

Prediction:

Will Dominic Thiem be tested by Casper Ruud, the rising Norwegian who is 15-4 on clay in 2020, when they meet in the third round of Roland Garros?

Thiem vs Ruud is live from Roland Garros on Friday 2 October, 11am local/10am BST

Now on a nine-match winning streak, Dominic Thiem has sailed through two potentially tough matches at the French Open with flying colours and is now targeting a place in the third round fot the fifth year in a row.

French Open 2020: Find out tournament information for Roland Garros 2020 and how to stream French Open matches live

But he’s up against another potentially tough opponent in Casper Ruud of Norway, the 21-year-old from Norway who has established himself as quite a presence on clay courts especially over the past 18 months. Could Ruud be the first player to take a set from Thiem in Paris this fortnight?

Read on for our preview, predictions and live streaming information.

How to watch Thiem vs Ruud live

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Thiem vs Ruud: Head-to-head

This is the first match between Dominic Thiem and Casper Ruud.

Thiem vs Ruud: Preview

So far, there’s been little sign of any post-US Open slump from Dominic Thiem. Despite his lack of clay-court matches after understandably skipping the Rome Masters, the Austrian has yet to drop a set at the French Open and it isn’t as if he hasn’t been facing potentially tricky opponents – both Marin Cilic in the first round and Jack Sock in the second looked poised at one point to take at least a set from the third seed.

Still very much one of the favourites for the title, grouped together with Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic at the top with everybody else a long way behind, Thiem has established that he can hit through these slow courts and cold conditions in 2020 – much like Stan Wawrinka, whose game his so much resembles and who he could well meet in the last 16 in what would be a must-watch clash.

Before that though Thiem has to contend with Casper Ruud, the young Norwegian from a tennis family who is into the third round of the French Open for the second straight year. Last year, he beat former semifinalist Ernests Gulbis and Matteo Berrettini before losing to Roger Federer; this year, he is seeded after a 20-9 season so far. Fifteen of those wins have come on clay, on which Ruud is 15-4 in 2020: He made back-to-back finals on the Golden Swing in February, winning Buenos Aires and losing Santiago, and made a breakthrough run to the semifinals of the Rome Masters, surpassing his father Christian’s career-best record of making the quarterfinals.

Casper Ruud (Photo: Daniel Bockwoldt/dpa)

Karen Khachanov, Marin Cilic and Fabio Fognini were all victims of Ruud’s Rome semifinal run and the one that followed the week after in Hamburg, and it took Novak Djokovic and Andrey Rublev, eventual champions both, to stop him respectively. At the French Open, he breezed through Yuichi Sugita in the first round before being taken to five by Tommy Paul, but we should expect him to go all out in a bid to get his second win over a top-10 player when he faces Thiem.

This really should be a watchable clash. Ruud really took it to Djokovic when they met in Rome, and it will be interesting to see how he handles Thiem’s tendency to return serve from so far behind the baseline – will he find ways to take advantage? Ultimately I think the way Ruud plays will play into Thiem’s hands and the Austrian should take it in straights, but it will be tight.

Thiem vs Ruud: Prediction

Dominic Thiem continues his French Open campaign as he takes on Jack Sock, former top-10 player now suddenly showing signs of resurgence.

Thiem vs Sock is live from Roland Garros on Wednesday 30 September, 1pm local/12pm BST

A straight-sets win over Marin Cilic means that Dominic Thiem is now on an eight-match winning streak, bringing his strong form from the US Open, where he claimed his maiden major title, to the French Open where he has twice finished runner-up to Rafael Nadal.

French Open 2020: Find out tournament information for Roland Garros 2020 and how to stream French Open matches live

Thiem moves on to face former world no. 8 Jack Sock, now ranked outside the top 300, who is showing signs of becoming a force to be reckoned with once more.

Read on for our preview, predictions and live streaming information.

How to watch Thiem vs Sock live

French Open matches including Dominic Thiem vs Jack Sock are streamed live alongside odds and in-play betting at bet365.

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Thiem vs Sock: Head-to-head

Dominic Thiem leads the head-to-head 3-1 with Jack Sock – all four matches have taken place on hard courts.

Sock won 6-2, 6-4 at the Paris Masters in 2016 – all other matches have gone Thiem’s way, including their most recent encounter at the same tournament in 2018.

Thiem vs Sock: Preview

Dominic Thiem showed little sign of minimal or sub-optimal preparation for the French Open as he surmounted one of the tougher first-round challenges the draw could have placed in front of him, beating Marin Cilic 6-4, 6-3, 6-3.

Cilic came out with a smart game plan and had his opportunities, especially in the first set; had he executed better, he might have taken an early lead against Thiem, but as it was, once the Austrian got the first set under his belt he never really relinquished front-runner status again.

Thiem had injury issues in the closing stages of his US Open campaign and had not played a warm-up match on clay, but there was no inkling of an emotional or physical hangover from his maiden major win, and like the player whose game his resembles most of all, Stan Wawrinka, he proved that he is neither bothered by the cold, damp conditions of this autumnal Roland Garros, nor has any difficulty in powering the ball through the slow courts thanks to his immense power from the baseline.

With Casper Ruud and Wawrinka himself likely to await Thiem in the third and fourth rounds, the Austrian won’t want to expend any unnecessary energy as he takes on one of the few players in the draw with a forehand as heavy as his own in Jack Sock.

Jack Sock (Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA)

Sock is a curious case, a player whose results and ranking fluctuate wildly. He was ranked as high as world no. 8 in November 2017 after winning his maiden Masters 1000 Series title in Paris, where he was the beneficiary of a somewhat soft draw – he faced one player ranked inside the top 50 on his way to the title – after having won titles in Auckland and Delray Beach earlier that season. In 2018, however, he went 9-22 and then played only eight matches in 2019, losing them all, after a hand injury which required surgery.

The American returned, unranked, in February 2020 and made an impressive run to the final of the Indian Wells Challenger, which propelled him back up to world no. 389 when the sport resumed. He got his first Grand Slam win since the US Open in 2018 when he beat Pablo Cuevas in the first round of the US Open before losing to Adrian Mannarino, and got his first French Open win since 2016 when he beat big-serving compatriot Reilly Opelka in the first round.

Sock made the round of 16 at the French Open in 2015 when he beat Borna Coric, Pablo Carreno Busta and Grigor Dimitrov, and took a set from Nadal; he’s reached the Houston final twice, winning it once; his heavy forehead has always proved an effective weapon on this surface, and it won’t have any difficulty getting through the slow courts. He also doesn’t have anything to lose. I wouldn’t be surprised if he came out all guns blazing, pushed Thiem hard for one set, and then lost, but not before making the match a decent length.

Thiem vs Sock: Prediction

Dominic Thiem begins his Roland Garros 2020 campaign against fellow US Open champion Marin Cilic on Monday.

Thiem vs Cilic is live from Roland Garros on Monday 28 September, 1pm local/12pm BST

World no. 3 Dominic Thiem plays his first match since winning the US Open final in five dramatic sets as he begins his French Open campaign with no clay-court matches since February.

French Open 2020: Find out tournament information for Roland Garros 2020 and how to stream French Open matches live

Thiem is one of the top favourites for the French Open, where he is a two-time runner-up, but faces a tougher opening match than most against former world no. 3 Marin Cilic, a two-time Roland Garros quarterfinalist and fellow Grand Slam champion.

Read on for our preview, predictions and live streaming information.

How to watch Thiem vs Cilic live

French Open matches including Dominic Thiem vs Marin Cilic are streamed live alongside odds and in-play betting at bet365.

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Thiem vs Cilic: Head-to-head

Dominic Thiem has a 3-0 record against Marin Cilic. All three meetings took place on hard courts.

The most recent clash between them was at the US Open a few weeks ago, where Thiem won 6-2, 6-2, 3-6, 6-3.

Thiem vs Cilic: Preview

In the second of two first-round clashes in the men’s draw to feature Grand Slam champions on both sides of the net, Dominic Thiem will be suiting up to see if he can open his French Open campaign with a statement win.

Thiem comes into this year’s French Open as one of the three big contenders, alongside Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic, both of whom he has beaten at Grand Slams. A French Open semifinalist in 2016-17, runner-up to Nadal in 2018-19, Thiem comes into this tournament with the pressure of trying to break into the elite circle of major winners off his back; when the shock default of Djokovic in New York guaranteed a new men’s Grand Slam champion, it was Thiem, despite not looking in particularly promising form and a horribly nervy and stilted performance in the final against Alexander Zverev, who rose to the occasion.

Players who win their first Grand Slam, especially after several runner-up finishes, often experience a bit of a slump, trying to manage the increased media attention and pressure as well as readjust to new goals. Will this be the case with Thiem? He hasn’t played since the US Open, coming into Roland Garros with his last clay-court match a defeat to qualifier Gianluca Mager in Rio de Janeiro in February; he also had Achilles injury issues in the closing stages of his New York campaign which may or may not be behind him.

Marin Cilic is a two-time French Open quarterfinalist (PA Images)

Under the circumstances facing a name opponent like Cilic, rather than an opponent he’d be expected to crush, in the first round might actually be good for Thiem psychologically. Cilic was not far off being seeded, with his current ranking at world no. 39; around the lowest it’s been for years, after a dismal 2019 season saw him slip from world no. 7 to world no. 38. That 22-19 season, which included a second-round French Open defeat to Grigor Dimitrov, has left Cilic vulnerable to meeting top seeds in early rounds, and struggling to rebuild, with some of the strongest parts of his year – like the grass-court season – wiped out entirely.

Cilic beat two seeds to make the round of 16 at the Australian Open in January, made the third round of the US Open before losing to Thiem, and had quite a good outing at the Rome Masters, beating Alexander Bublik and David Goffin before losing to Casper Ruud. In one sense, the slow conditions at this year’s French Open should suit the big-serving Cilic, but they should also be good for Thiem, who has the sheer baseline power needed to get the ball through the court. A scoreline similar to their US Open match – Thiem winning in four, 34 games – seems indicated.

Thiem vs Cilic: Prediction

Dominic Thiem is one match away from Grand Slam greatness – can Alexander Zverev steal the moment for himself in the US Open men’s final?

Thiem vs Zverev is live from New York on Sunday 13 September, 4pm local/9pm BST

The first Grand Slam final in six years not to feature one of the ‘Big Four’ takes place in an empty Arthur Ashe Stadium on Sunday night as Dominic Thiem and Alexander Zverev battle to be crowned US Open champion.

US Open 2020: Tournament information, schedules, latest news and live streaming information for the resilient Grand Slam in New York

Thiem has lost three Grand Slam finals, but he’s 7-2 vs Zverev and the muscular Austrian has shone where Zverev has struggled in the quarters and semifinals. Can Zverev find a way to upset the favourite and crown himself?

Read on for our preview, predictions and live streaming information.

How to watch Thiem vs Zverev live

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Thiem vs Zverev: Head-to-head

Dominic Thiem leads the head-to-head with Alexander Zverev 7-2, and has won their last three matches and all three matches they have played at Grand Slam level.

They last met at the Australian Open in January when Thiem lost the first set but won 3-6, 6-4, 7-6(3), 7-6(4).

Thiem vs Zverev: Preview

Dominic Thiem is rightfully the favourite to win this US Open final. Obviously anything can happen when two players take to the court, particularly at this oddest of US Opens. But since the shock exit of Novak Djokovic guaranteed a new Grand Slam men’s singles champion, only one of these two players has looked absolutely ready to rise to the occasion, and that’s been Thiem.

While his early-round performances were average, good enough but no better, Thiem has started playing his best tennis in the second week, flattening young pretenders Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alex de Minaur. In the semifinal clash which was decidedly the heavyweight bout of the two, Thiem’s proactive, aggressive tennis rocked 2019 runner-up Daniil Medvedev back on his heels, and although it was a long and gruelling match, Thiem absolutely refused to let it become any longer or more gruelling than it had to be: He came back from a set down in both the second and third sets and saved set point in the second-set tie-break to win 6-2, 7-6(7), 7-6(5).

Alexander Zverev is 2-7 vs Dominic Thiem (PA Images)

By contrast, Alexander Zverev played a very poor first set in the quarterfinals against Borna Coric, a match which never rose above the mediocre, and he was appalling in the first two sets against Pablo Carreno Busta. He did play better, but never really well, and often looked like he was struggling to win a point with any shot other than his first serve. Credit to Zverev for digging himself out of a hole, but it was a hole he buried himself in. To start two matches in a row very poorly, looking unprepared to be out there, doesn’t suggest that he’s primed to win this title.

Will Zverev play better when he’s not the favourite to win, as he was against Coric and Carreno Busta? Perhaps. There’s also the right Achilles issue which bothered Thiem in his semifinal against Medvedev, although his trainer has insisted he’ll be fine for Sunday.

Still, the head-to-head is pretty one-sided in Thiem’s favour: He has won seven of nine vs Zverev, all three of their Grand Slam matches (including a four-set battle in the semifinals of the Australian Open) and the last three they have played. The Austrian’s tremendous power off both wings, even when well behind the baseline, can break down Zverev’s more erratic forehand, and he’s just generally a more rounded and versatile player right now, not to mention psychologically primed to seize this opportunity. After losing to him, Medvedev said that Thiem had a ‘winning energy’. I agree.

Thiem vs Zverev: Prediction

Dominic Thiem will have to break down the impenetrable Daniil Medvedev if he is to reach his first US Open final.

Medvedev vs Thiem is live from New York on Friday 11 September, 6pm local/11pm BST

After having come within a set of claiming the title in 2019, Daniil Medvedev is out to make back-to-back US Open finals as he takes on Dominic Thiem in Friday’s semifinals.

US Open 2020: Tournament information, schedules, latest news and live streaming information for the resilient Grand Slam in New York

With four Grand Slam final appearances between them, Medvedev and Thiem are the heavyweights remaining in the draw, with the other semifinalists Alexander Zverev and Pablo Carreno Busta yetto reach one. Whoever wins the Thiem vs Medvedev clash will be favourite in the US Open final.

Read on for our preview, predictions and live streaming information.

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Medvedev vs Thiem: Head-to-head

Thiem leads the head-to-head with Medvedev 2-1, but Medvedev is actually 1-0 vs Thiem on outdoor hard courts.

Thiem beat Medvedev in a third-set tie-break on indoor hard courts in St Petersburg in 2018, and 6-4, 6-0 on clay in the Barcelona final in 2019. Medvedev won 6-3, 6-1 in the quarterfinals of the Canada Masters in August 2019.

Medvedev vs Thiem: Preview

Daniil Medvedev is the only player, of the four men who have reached the semifinals, who is yet to drop a set, and as the 2019 runner-up – who pushed Rafael Nadal to five sets in that final – he is many people’s pick to be the one crowned as the new Grand Slam champion guaranteed by the exit of Novak Djokovic.

Medvedev faced his toughest test of the tournament so far when he took on compatriot Andrey Rublev in the quarterfinals, but preserved his perfect record against his friend from junior days with a 7-6(6), 6-3, 7-6(5) victory. Against a player of a very different mould – all about the flat hammered power from the baseline – Medvedev’s serve shone: He lost just six points behind his first serve in the match, finding 16 aces along the way, and did not face a single break point. (He only created one on Rublev’s serve, but converted it.)

The pivotal passages of play were obviously the two tie-breaks, each of which Medvedev edged as well as saving three set points on his way back from 3-6 down in the first set. More concerning was the treatment he required for a shoulder injury and for cramp midway through the third set. The emotion was obviously extreme, and the match hard-fought, but to be struggling physically after not dropping a set all tournament doesn’t necessarily bode that well coming into a clash with Dominic Thiem, a formidable physical specimen to say the least.

Dominic Thiem lost his only previous outdoor hard-court match against Daniil Medvedev (PA Images)

Thiem’s early-round performances didn’t impress much more than his one-sided defeat to Filip Krajinovic in ‘Cincinnati’. But the Austrian is, at this point, well-versed in getting to the closing stages of Grand Slams: Twice a runner-up at the French Open, he pushed Djokovic to five at the Australian Open in January. Thiem has been seemingly primed to win a major for about a year now, and I don’t think the fact that the draw has opened up with the absence of any Big Four players in the closing stages has changed his approach a whit.

Thiem has played his best tennis of the tournament in thumping Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alex de Minaur in straight sets, but he won’t be able to flatten Medvedev so easily. The Russian is serving brilliantly, and he’s a very difficult player to hit through; there will be many, many long grinding rallies. The question mark for me is the shoulder injury, not just from the point of view of Medvedev’s serve, but from handling the heavy, high-bouncing ball that Thiem hits. This is going to be a war of attrition, and Thiem looks slightly fitter, better-rested and prepared to go the distance.

Medvedev vs Thiem: Prediction

Dominic Thiem aims to overpower Australia’s dogged Alex ‘Demon’ de Minaur when they clash for a place in the US Open semifinals.

Thiem vs de Minaur is live from New York on Wednesday 9 September, 8.30pm local/1.30am BST

Three-time Grand Slam runner-up Dominic Thiem is the most experienced competitor remaining in the men’s draw after the shock departure of Novak Djokovic, and impressed with an emphatic victory over Felix Auger-Aliassime to reach the quarterfinals.

US Open 2020: Tournament information, schedules, latest news and live streaming information for the resilient Grand Slam in New York

Not the biggest man on the ATP Tour but surely the quickest and most determined, Alex de Minaur has defused big servers and big hitters to reach his first Grand Slam quarterfinal, but how will he fare against Thiem?

Read on for our preview, predictions and live streaming information.

How to watch Thiem vs de Minaur live

US Open matches including Dominic Thiem vs Alex de Minaur are streamed live alongside odds and in-play betting at bet365.

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3. Go to tennis > US Open > Thiem vs de Minaur

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Thiem vs de Minaur: Head-to-head

Dominic Thiem has a 2-0 record vs Alex de Minaur, beating him 6-4, 6-1, 6-1 in the first round of the US Open in 2017 and in four sets in a Davis Cup rubber on clay in 2018.

Thiem vs de Minaur: Preview

Dominic Thiem has looked like a Grand Slam champion-in-waiting for perhaps the last 18 months, and came his closest yet to breaking into that elite company when he pushed Novak Djokovic to five sets in the Australian Open final in January.

So when Djokovic went out, guaranteeing a new male Grand Slam champion, Thiem responded with his finest tennis of the tournament so far to beat Felix Auger-Aliassime 7-6(4), 6-1, 6-1 and book his place in the US Open quarterfinals for the second time.

It wasn’t as if Thiem had played badly earlier in the tournament, but he hadn’t faced too much opposition apart from 2014 champion Marin Cilic in the third round, and the win over Cilic was workmanlike rather than inspired.

Against Auger-Aliassime, however, he produced some absolutely scintillating tennis reminiscent of the kind he played to defeat Rafael Nadal at the Australian Open in January, and it looks like he might be peaking at the right time as the climactic stages of the tournament approach.

Alex de Minaur is playing in his first Grand Slam quarterfinal (PA Images)

None of this is good news for Alex de Minaur, who is in uncharted territory as a first-time Grand Slam quarterfinalist. De Minaur won three ATP Tour titles in 2019 and made the last 16 of the US Open with a win over Kei Nishikori, but he came into this year’s US Open on a four-match losing streak. Snapping it against Andrej Martin, he beat Richard Gasquet in four, 11th seed Karen Khachanov in five and finally the much more experienced and big-serving Vasek Pospisil in straight sets. De Minaur broke Pospisil’s spirit when he came back from 2-6 down in the tie-break to win the first set, and the fleet-footed Australian’s incredible retrieving, consistency from the baseline and willingness to come forward when he had the chance made Pospisil look sluggish and limited.

Not the biggest man, de Minaur absolutely cannot match Thiem’s power, and with the Austrian delighting in ripping heavy balls from metres behind the baseline all day, every day, it’s not certain what de Minaur can do, for me. He isn’t bad at attacking the net, but finding his way there in the face of Thiem’s battering power is going to be very hard. Thiem will not want to be dragged into a long match so we should expect an aggressive performance from the Austrian, and if that’s the case, probably a straight-sets victory.

Thiem vs de Minaur: Prediction