ATP Tokyo Tennis Outright Betting Tips

Andy Watson in ATP Tour 17 Oct 2023
2RP6G4P Ben Shelton, of the United States, celebrates after defeating Tommy Paul, of the United States, during the fourth round of the U.S. Open tennis championships, Sunday, Sept. 3, 2023, in New York. (AP Photo/Eduardo Munoz Alvarez)

The last of the big East Asian tournaments comes from Tokyo who host an ATP500 event.

The earliest record of the Japan Open is back in 1915 when G.A. Roper beat H.C.M. Horne. Surprisingly enough, this all-British affair doesn’t really us much by way of relevant form lines, but does give an indication of how tennis grew around the world at that time.

Bringing us up-to-date, the Japan Open has been a very difficult title to win more than once. Only Kei Nishikori, perhaps unsurprisingly, has won the title more than once since Pete Sampras won the last of his three titles in 1996. Milos Raonic made three consecutive finals, and last year’s final was an all-American affair between Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe.

Fritz is defending champion and top seed here. However, as we have just seen, it is not an easy title to defend.

Matches in Tokyo will take place in the early hours of the morning in the UK.


18+ | Geo Restrictions may apply | Be Gamble Aware

ATP Tokyo Betting Tips

Ben Shelton 1pt @ 11/1 at BetVictor

Francisco Cerundolo 0.5pt EW @ 33/1 at BetMGM

ATP Tokyo Draw

Antwerp has a 8-seed, 32-man draw.

ATP Tokyo Betting Tips

Taylor Fritz is top seed and favourite, but there are lots of contenders around similar prices.

The winner has come from the top eight seeds in seven of the last ten titles, the three who also won though were Kei Nishikori, Juan Martin Del Potro, and Daniil Medvedev.

Ben Shelton 1pt @ 11/1 at BetVictor

Shelton has not yet reached the seeded ranks, but it is surely only a matter of time before he is winning tournaments, and it could just as likely be some of these bigger events than the smaller ones.

The young American has been seriously impressive on the hard court Grand Slam tournaments of 2023 and undoubtedly he will have learned a lot about himself, his game, and his mentality in this first year on tour.

Whilst this bodes him in good stead for his career, for this tournament here he is interesting because of his game style, current form, and also a very attackable draw. He should be shorter than 11s.

Francisco Cerundolo 0.5pt EW @ 33/1 at BetMGM

A bigger price, and one that feels a little long. Cerundolo has impressed away from his native South American claycourts and, in my opinion, can justifiably call himself one of the best tennis players in the world right now.

His hard court work is still a work in progress, but he has shown real improvement in the last eighteen months, now he has a winning record on hard on the ATP tour over the last year.

His draw is good, opening up against fellow Argentine Diego Schwartzman, who appears to be in terminal decline at the moment.