Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Korda betting tips, predictions, odds, and betting offers

Andy Watson in ATP Tour 13 Oct 2023
2MFABF0 Hubert Hurkacz of Poland, right, shakes hands with Sebastian Korda, left, during the men’s singles final of the Delray Beach Open tennis tournament, Wednesday, Jan. 13, 2021, in Delray Beach, Fla. Hurkacz won 6-3, 6-3. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)

The Shanghai Masters is down to it’s final four and Hubert Hurkacz faces Sebastian Korda for a place in the final at 9:30 Saturday (UK time).

Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Both men in this semi-final have had fairly underwhelming seasons for what they will have planned for in 2023. Hurkacz hasn’t won a big title and Korda has failed to make good on his promise having not won a single title in the last year.

There is nothing between the pair at the bookmakers, and there is little between them in the data as well. Hurkacz’s 66% win rate is shaded by Korda’s 68%, and their tiebreak win percentage is exactly the same at 54% each.

Where there are slight differences are in the way that they play the game, both have big serves but Hurkacz relies on his more, 88% of his service games are holds, compared to Korda’s 85%, but Korda has the advantage on the return. Korda leads Hurkacz by 6.2% on return games over the course of the year.

Korda has had the much harder run of the two to get to this stage, and lost fewer sets despite this. The American has been that touch more impressive here in Shanghai and bets should be leaning his way.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Korda Tip: Recommended Bet

Sebastian Korda to win 2-1 @ 3/1 with BetMGM

Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Korda odds

Winner Sky Bet BetMGM
Hubert Hurkacz 5/6 10/11
Sebastian Korda 5/6 10/11

Hubert Hurkacz road to the Shanghai semi-final

Once Hurkacz got through a trickey opener, his draw has opened up pretty nicely. Korda will be the first seeded player he has faced in this tournament so far. The Pole has won three out of three tiebreaks played, which was most fortunate against Zhang in particular as he lost the middle set to a single break. Hurkacz has dropped two sets.

Round Opponent Result
Second Round Thanasi Kokkinakis 7-6, 6-4
Third Round Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-4, 6-4
Fourth Round Zhizhen Zhang 7-6, 4-6, 7-6
Quarter Final Fabian Marozsan 4-6, 6-1, 6-3

Sebastian Korda road to the Shanghai semi-final

Korda has endured a much more difficult run to the semi-finals, playing four tiebreaks and winning three along the way. Three of his wins came against seeded players, and all three of Medvedev, Cerundolo, and Shelton have had good seasons in their own way.

Round Opponent Result
Second Round Bu Yunchaokete 6-1, 6-4
Third Round Daniil Medvedev 7-6, 6-2
Fourth Round Francisco Cerundolo 7-5, 7-6
Quarter-Final Ben Shelton 6-7, 6-2, 7-6

Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Korda Head to Head

This will be the third meeting between the players, with the current head-to-head reading 1-1.

Hubert Hurkacz vs Sebastian Korda previous results

The players played out an epic at the Australian Open at the beginning of the year.

Winner Score Year Tournament
Sebastian Korda 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, 1-6, 7-6 2023 Australian Open
Hubert Hurkacz 6-3, 6-3 2021 Delray Beach