Novak Djokovic looks set to reach the 46th Grand Slam quarterfinal of his career as he takes on Pablo Carreno…
Novak Djokovic looks set to reach the 46th Grand Slam quarterfinal of his career as he takes on Pablo Carreno Busta in the fourth round of the US Open on Sunday.
Novak Djokovic vs Pablo Carreno Busta | US Open men's singles R16 | 6/9/2020Under 28.5 games 29/20 Bet Now! New Customers only. 18+. T&C’s Apply. begambleaware.org.
Djokovic vs Carreno Busta is live from New York on Sunday 6 September, 2pm local/7pm BST
You don’t have to go very far back in the records to find the last time Novak Djokovic failed to make the quarterfinals of a Grand Slam – it happened at this very tournament 12 months ago, when Djokovic struggled and eventually retired when trailing Stan Wawrinka 4-6, 5-7, 1-2.
But there’s absolutely nothing to indicate that history will repeat itself. A year on, Djokovic is not only 26-0 in 2020 and much better rested after (albeit involuntarily) taking the best part of six months off; he has a 3-0 record vs his fourth-round opponent Pablo Carreno Busta.
Read on for our preview, predictions and live streaming information.
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Djokovic vs Carreno Busta: Head-to-head
Novak Djokovic leads the head-to-head with Pablo Carreno Busta 3-0. Carreno Busta has won only one of the seven sets they have played, and that came on clay at the Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters in 2017.
They last played at the Cincinnati Masters in 2019, when Djokovic won 6-3, 6-4.
Djokovic vs Carreno Busta: Preview
Djokovic continues to go from strength to strength in 2020, despite everything he has to deal with off the court. Having lost the first set to Kyle Edmund in the second round, Djokovic picked up where he left off when he finished strongly against the British player, defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3, 6-6, 6-1 in 102 minutes. Djokovic served four aces, won 80% of points played behind his first serve and 17 of the 30 played on his second serve and saved all four break points he faced while breaking Struff on five of the 11 opportunities he created (no mean feat against a player with Struff’s serve).
It felt like an even better performance than the one he produced to beat Struff in the ‘Cincinnati’ quarterfinals just over a week ago, and everything seems to be clicking into place on the court as Djokovic pursues that fourth US Open title.
If there is going to be a serious challenge to the top seed’s US Open campaign, it would be a huge shock if it came from Pablo Carreno Busta.
The Spaniard was one of the more unlikely US Open semifinalists of recent times when he beat 29th seed Diego Schwartzman and four unseeded players, three of them ranked outside the top 100, to make the final four in New York in 2017; to be fair, he was also an Indian Wells semifinalist the same year and went on to break into the world’s top 10.
Carreno Busta has not been past the third round of the US Open since, or reached another Grand Slam quarterfinal, but he has been to the last 16 at the Australian Open two years in a row and picked up his fourth ATP Tour title in Chengdu in 2019. His best result of 2020 so far was reaching the semifinals of Rotterdam in February, beating Roberto Bautista Agut there, but wins over top-10 players continue to be rare for the Spaniard: He is 4-30 vs top-10 players, and 1-18 against them on hard courts.
In their first meeting, Djokovic allowed Carreno Busta just one game; their most recent match was a more respectable 6-3, 6-4 scoreline, but in the Serb’s favour, naturally, and it does strain credulity to try to think of Carreno Busta winning this one. He tracks down a lot of balls and makes his opponents hit a lot, but so does Djokovic, and Djokovic combines that with offensive weapons which can end points, not Carreno Busta’s strong point. The Spaniard can’t hit through Djokovic, and he can’t outlast him off the ground, and all in all that makes a match which Djokovic can be expected to cruise through.