Denis Shapovalov must overcome a losing record against Pablo Carreno Busta if he is to make the US Open semifinals….
Denis Shapovalov must overcome a losing record against Pablo Carreno Busta if he is to make the US Open semifinals.
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Shapovalov vs Carreno Busta is live from New York on Tuesday 8 September, time TBC
Opportunity knocks at the US Open after Novak Djokovic’s shock default left the draw devoid of Grand Slam champions and guaranteed that a new one will be crowned for the first time since Stan Wawrinka won the 2014 Australian Open.
Read on for our preview, predictions and live streaming information.
How to watch Shapovalov vs Carreno Busta live
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Shapovalov vs Carreno Busta: Head-to-head
Carreno Busta leads the head-to-head with Shapovalov 3-1, having won all three of their hard-court encounters including matches in Vienna and Chengdu in 2019 and a US Open clash in 2017 which Carreno Busta won in three tie-break sets.
Shapovalov’s lone victory over Carreno Busta came on clay at the Rome Masters.
Shapovalov vs Carreno Busta: Preview
Carreno Busta may have progressed to the quarterfinals of the US Open via Djokovic’s default, but the Spaniard should not be discounted as a threat. He has been a US Open semifinalist before, albeit after coming through a soft draw, and he was playing very well against Djokovic before the default, saving multiple break points before breaking Djokovic himself to lead 6-5.
The softly-spoken Carreno Busta, who had his own brush with controversy when he flung his racquet bag violently across the court after defeat to Kei Nishikori at the 2019 Australian Open, will have to try to produce the same exciting, accurate tennis he was playing against Djokovic as the underdog now that he has a real opportunity to go further at the US Open. But he does have a 3-1 record vs Shapovalov, winning all three of their previous hard-court matches, including a US Open encounter in 2017 he won in straight sets and matches in Vienna and Chengdu last year.
Shapovalov also had a losing record against fourth-round opponent David Goffin, however, and an experience disadvantage, but overcame both with an impressive display of attacking tennis. Shapovalov played well during the first set, only to get shut out in a tie-break, but the rest of the match was all about him as he consistently attacked the net and went for his shots. It’s a necessary tactic against someone like Goffin – or Carreno Busta – but it’s not easy to pull off, nor sustain for four sets.
If Shapovalov plays the same way against Carreno Busta, will it work? It should, although Carreno Busta will know what to expect and should adjust his game accordingly as far as he is able. Shapovalov has also spent a long time on court, giving Carreno Busta a physical advantage. I think it’s worth backing the Spaniard to make his second US Open semifinal.