WTA Dubai Betting Tips and Predictions | Our Picks For This Week’s Tennis

The biggest tournament on the WTA Tour this week is in Dubai. It is the first WTA1000 event of the season and following her record equalling triumph across the Persian Gulf in Doha, Iga Swiatek is here to extend her winning run.

The Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships are held outdoors on a Deco Turf II surface, similar to the US Open surface.

It is a WTA1000 tournament so with those extra ranking points and prize money available a good field has been attracted to Dubai. All of the fit world top 20 are here, only Ons Jabeur is missing. That means that competition will be fierce from round one.

The list of former champions here includes Jelena Ostapenko, Belinda Bencic, and Petra Kvitova, who are all in the field here. This tournament has also seen Simona Halep and Elina Svitolina (x2) emerge victorious, showing that movement is important in these conditions.

WTA Dubai is not the only WTA event this week and WTA Merida has tips on site as well.  You can read our tips for ATP Doha ATP Marseille and ATP Rio as well under the ATP banner.

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WTA Dubai Betting Tips

Iga Swiatek 3pt @ 7/4 at BetVictor

Event In Focus: WTA Dubai

The analysis grid this week doesn’t cover the whole field. The sixteen seeded players are covered alongside other more fancied players.

Rankings & 12-month Form

Iga Swiatek is clearly head and shoulders above the field across the current rankings and the last twelve months of data. Her 130% of games won and over 50% of return games won are figures that are hardly ever seen in these metrics, Novak Djokovic even fails to hit these numbers on the ATP Tour.

Other players from lower down the rankings that impress are Marketa Vondrousova, who, over a small sample size hindered by injury, has an elite level percentage of games won. Belinda Bencic has the second best win percentage in the field, which is not missed by the hard court ELO ranking that the Swiss has managed to achieve.

All players that have been selected for analysis have a better than 50/50 win percentage over the last year and a better than average games win percentage, but Madison Keys’ data is fairly weak in this company and Karolina Muchova needs a clear run without injury to pick her data up too.

Hard Court & Playing in Asia Data

Taking into account the surface type in Dubai we are able to break down the players’ career performance on hard courts on the WTA Tour. These records include qualifying rounds. Often players have specific records based on playing in specific areas of the world so we have looked at the players’ Asian records in the field and compared them to their overall data.

Victoria Azarenka is just about holding onto her record as the best hard court player over her career, but that girl Iga is hot on her heels now and will maybe overtake her games won percentage record in this tournament.

Defending champion Jelena Ostapenko has had a very average career on hard but seems to be coming into her own on the surface recently. Daria Kasatkina, Caroline Garcia, and Beatriz Haddad Maia are fairly average in this company as well.

Playing In Asia

Coco Gauff is a big standout in Asia. At the moment Gauff’s win-loss percentage is 10% better in Asia than her career average. The margin there is quite substantial so there must be something about either the conditions in the Middle East or Far East tournaments that the American enjoys.

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Marketa Vondrousova also seem to do well in Asia, but Liudmila Samsonova and Jessica Pegula will probably be glad to see the back of the mini-Asian swing here, this despite both women being finalists in the last couple of weeks.

WTA Dubai Draw

Dubai has a sixteen seed, 56-woman draw. The top eight seeds receive byes into the second round where the number of players is reduced to 32.

WTA Dubai Betting Tips

Iga Swiatek 3pt @ 7/4 at BetVictor

This isn’t my usual style. My usual instincts are to look to take on the big favourites in any tournament but I had expected the layers to be much closer to even money on Swiatek given the way she blitzed the field last week at Doha. The Polish world number one dropped only five games in the whole week and Swiatek’s bakery was in full swing with at least one bagel provided every match, even in the final against one of the world’s best in Jessica Pegula.

Swiatek has never won this tournament before, but she didn’t play last year either. Aryna Sabalenka is in the draw here, who obviously comes in here as the Australian Open champion and has been undefeated in 2023 so far, but we are yet to know how the Belarusian will react to winning her first Grand Slam title.

Without wasting any other points elsewhere I genuinely believe Swiatek is the value play in the field this week. She should make the final with a degree of comfort with the top seeds in her half being Maria Sakkari and Coco Gauff, who has a Swiatek problem.