Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner live stream | ATP Miami semi-final preview

Andy Watson in Uncategorized 03 Apr 2023
Alcaraz is the reigning champion in Miami (SOPA Images Limited / Alamy Stock Photo)

In what feels like a new rivalry on the ATP Tour, Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner will face off for the second tournament in a row in the Miami Open semi-finals.

Undoubtedly, the young world number one will start as favourite. Alcaraz won the match at Indian Wells in straight sets, though the opener in particular was very tight.

Sinner has done well to dominate from the centre of the baseline this week so far. The slightly quicker conditions in Miami may enable him to compete better from that position and to use his serve + 1 tactics with more success. However, there is no doubt that Alcaraz’s court coverage is second to none.

From a data perspective, Alcaraz has a good edge. The Spaniard holds 5% more often on a hard court and he wins 30% of return games to Sinner’s 28.8%. Taking this tournament alone, Alcaraz edges the holds by 4% but Sinner’s return game has been slightly better by 1%.

The eye test suggests that Sinner is in great form and is ready for this testing battle. Expect the Italian to push Alcaraz as hard as anyone has so far, but it is not overly convincing that he will quite have enough to defeat the all-court game of Alcaraz.

Prediction: Alcaraz to win in three sets.

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