Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi betting tips, predictions and odds | US Open 2023

Andy Watson in US Open 2023 04 Sep 2023
Alcaraz is the reigning champion in New York (Susan Mullane/Alamy Live News)

The defending US Open champion will hope to cruise into the quarter-finals in 2023 as Carlos Alcaraz takes on promising Italian Matteo Arnaldi in the round of 16 at Flushing Meadows

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction

Whilst 99.9% of people will believe that Carlos Alcaraz will progress here, and, yes, this will be the prediction here too, but one has to recognise that Matteo Arnaldi is a coming force in the game.

The Italian has won 65% of his matches this year, and , actually his recent performance data stands alongside Alcaraz’s quite comfortably. Arnaldi has held serve at a better percentage than Alcaraz in the last month, including in New York, 84.7% to 83.5%. There isn’t much difference in the break percentages either though Alcaraz edges it 23.9% to Arnaldi 20.2%.

The major difference in the pair is that Alcaraz has proven himself to be capable of tennis unmatched by anyone, except potentially Novak Djokovic, when he needs it. Arnaldi has the potential to take a set off the Spanish maestro, but the likelihood is that when it comes to the crunch that Alcaraz will elevate to a level beyond what Arnaldi is capable of.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Tip: Recommended Bet

Carlos Alcaraz to win and Over 27.5 games @ 11/10 with Sky Bet


Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi odds

Winner Sky Bet Bet365
Carlos Alcaraz 1/66 1/50
Matteo Arnaldi 14/1 18/1

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Carlos Alcaraz road to the US Open Round of 16

Alcaraz lost a set in his last round against an inspired Dan Evans, but still displayed a level of tennis rarely seen on the US Open courts.

Round Opponent Result
First Round Dominik Koepfer 6-2, 3-2 ret.
Second Round Lloyd Harris 6-3, 6-1, 7-6
Third Round Dan Evans (26) 6-2, 6-3, 4-6, 6-3

Matteo Arnaldi road to the US Open Round of 16

There has been a distinctly Gallic flavour to Rublev’s route through the US Open so far. He has been challenged significantly by all three of his French challengers.

Round Opponent Result
First Round Jason Kubler 6-3, 1-0 ret.
Second Round Arthur Fils 3-6, 7-5, 7-6, 5-7, 6-4
Third Round Cameron Norrie (16) 6-3, 6-4, 6-3

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Head to Head

This will be the first meeting between the two players.

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