Madison Keys v Aryna Sabalenka betting tips, predictions, odds and betting offers | US Open 2023

Andrew Francis in US Open 2023 07 Sep 2023
Aryna Sabalenka in action (Photo via Alamy Stock)

Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka go head to head on Friday for a place in the US Open Final at Flushing Meadows.

Madison Keys v Aryna Sabalenka Prediction

This could be a really exciting semi-final with Sabalenka, the world number two, coming up against home country hero, Madison Keys. There’s no doubt who the crowd will be firmly behind but Keys comes into this match as the underdog, as she looks to make her second US Open final.

Keys last appearance in a final, the 2017 edition of this competition, ended in defeat and she’ll be trying to break her Grand Slam duck and move into the WTA elite. Sabalenka has had an extraordinary year, winning the Australian Open before making the semi-final in both the French Open and Wimbledon.

This may be too close to call, with home court advantage evening the odds slightly, and backing it to go all the way to three sets seems the safest bet.

Madison Keys v Aryna Sabalenka Tip: Recommended Bet

Madison Keys v Aryna Sabalenka – Over 2.5 Total Sets @ 5/4 with Sky Bet

Madison Keys v Aryna Sabalenka odds

Winner Sky Bet Bet365
Madison Keys 2/1 11/5
Aryna Sabalenka 4/11 4/11

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Madison Keys road to the US Open quarter-finals

Keys has found form at the right time, coming into the US Open and dropping just one set against some impressive opponents. This is her toughest test to date but she’ll have extra motivation with a potential all-US final in the reckoning, against Cori Gauff.

Round Opponent Result
First Round Arantxa Rus 6-2, 6-4
Second Round Yanina Wickmayer 6-1, 6-2
Third Round Liudmila Samsonova 5-7, 6-2, 6-2
Fourth Round Jessica Pegula 6-1, 6-3
Quarter Final Markéta Vondroušová 6-1, 6-4

Aryna Sabalenka road to the US Open quarter-finals

Sabalenka has yet to drop a set in this tournament, only losing four game in a set once and looks to be in imperious form. She’ll be keen to make the final after losing in the semi-final of the US Open in the previous two years, and cap off what has been a very impressive calendar year for the 25-year-old.

Round Opponent Result
First Round Maryna Zanevska 6-3, 6-2
Second Round Jodie Burrage 6-3, 6-2
Third Round Clara Burel 6-1, 6-1
Fourth Round Daria Kasatkina 6-1, 6-3
Quarter Final Zheng Qinwen 6-1, 6-4

Madison Keys v Aryna Sabalenka Head to Head

This will be the third meeting between the players, with Sabalenka coming out on top in two of those meetings. The most recent encounter was at Wimbledon, this year, when Sabalenka secured a straight set victory. 

Madison Keys v Aryna Sabalenka previous results

Winner Score Year Tournament
Aryan Sabalenka 6-2, 6-4 2023 Wimbledon
Madison Keys 6-4, 1-6, 7-5 2021 Betti Open
Aryna Sabalenka 6-3, 6-4 2018 Western and Southern Open