Arthur Rinderknech

Rinderknech builds everything from the serve. At 6ft 5in he gets steep angles on the first ball and plays an aggressive first-strike pattern behind it, looking to finish rallies inside four shots rather than extend them. That makes him dangerous on quick outdoor hard courts and in best-of-five, where a hot serving day can carry him past a better returner. The limitation is the second serve and the movement in long exchanges, which is why his deep runs have come at the US Open rather than on slower surfaces.

The college-tennis route shows in how Rinderknech competes: he is rarely blown off court and his matches trend long, which makes over-games and tie-break markets more reliable than the outright. He is a genuine live price against top-10 opponents in New York specifically, where the conditions and the crowd suit him. Against a returner of Medvedev’s quality the serve has to hold up for four sets. Odds are approximate at time of writing.