Stockholm Open
The Stockholm Open final is on Saturday 14 November, and the four players who can reach it play their semi-finals on Friday. Alejandro Tabilo meets Thiago Agustín Tirante first, then the top seed Taylor Fritz plays Lorenzo Musetti. These are our picks for both semi-finals and the title, written on Friday morning before play. The figures for the week come from the ATP match statistics.
Our earlier Stockholm Open betting tips made Fritz the pick for the title, and he is still standing. Casper Ruud, our each-way pick, lost his first match to the qualifier Aleksandr Shevchenko, and Holger Rune, our outsider, withdrew before his quarter-final against Fritz with a hamstring injury.
The Semi-Finals
| Match | Time (UK) | Head-to-head |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo (4) v Thiago Agustín Tirante | Not before 13:00 | Tabilo 2-0 at tour level |
| Taylor Fritz (1) v Lorenzo Musetti (3) | Not before 16:00 | Musetti 5-3 |
Both semi-finals are on Center Court at the Royal Tennis Hall, and the final follows on Saturday 14 November. The Stockholm Open is live on Sky Sports Tennis and NOW in the UK, and our how to watch tennis guide has the details.
Fritz v Musetti Prediction
Lorenzo Musetti leads the head-to-head 5-3 and has won their last two meetings: 6-2, 7-5, 6-4 in the fourth round of the Australian Open in January and 6-3, 6-4 in the Lyon final in October, indoors. Taylor Fritz won the meeting before that, 6-3, 6-4 at the ATP Finals in Turin in 2025, also indoors.
Fritz has played only one match this week. After a first-round bye he beat Cameron Norrie 7-5, 6-3, with 13 aces and 81% of his first-serve points won, and he was broken once in 11 service games. Rune’s withdrawal means he arrives fresh, but it also means he has had a single competitive match in Stockholm. Musetti has played two, beating the British qualifier Toby Samuel 6-1, 6-4 and then Ugo Humbert 7-6(5), 3-6, 6-4 in two and a half hours on Thursday. He has landed 70% of his first serves and been broken twice in 24 service games.
The record says Musetti, and his Lyon win came on an indoor court a month ago. But this is a quick court that rewards first-strike tennis, Fritz is the bigger server, and he has had a day off while Musetti went the distance. We think Fritz wins it, probably in three sets.
Pick: Taylor Fritz to beat Lorenzo Musetti.
Tabilo v Tirante Prediction
Alejandro Tabilo, the No. 4 seed, has won both their tour-level meetings, at Rio de Janeiro and Santiago this year, both on clay, and also went through when Tirante gave him a walkover in Båstad. Their only hard-court match went the other way: Thiago Agustín Tirante won 6-2, 6-4 at a Challenger in Cancún in 2025.
Tirante has been the best server in Stockholm. He beat Jaume Munar in straight sets, went through when Tomás Martín Etcheverry withdrew, and beat Shevchenko 7-6(5), 6-7(5), 6-3 in the quarter-finals. Across those two matches he hit 36 aces, won 86% of his first-serve points and has not been broken in 28 service games. Tabilo has had two tight matches: 7-6(2), 6-7(7), 7-5 against Lorenzo Sonego and 7-5, 7-6(2) against Alex Michelsen. He has saved nine of the ten break points he has faced and been broken once in 30 service games.
Tabilo has the better record against Tirante, but all of it was on clay. Indoors, with the way Tirante is serving, we would take the underdog.
Pick: Thiago Agustín Tirante to beat Alejandro Tabilo.
Stockholm Open Final Prediction
We are sticking with Fritz for the title. He is the top seed and the highest-ranked player left, his serve rating over the past 52 weeks is the third-best on the ATP Tour, and he has 11 career titles against three for Tabilo and none for Tirante. If Musetti beats him again, the Italian becomes the favourite for the final, and he would have the more varied game against either Tabilo or Tirante.
Pick: Taylor Fritz to win the Stockholm Open.
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FAQ
Stockholm Open Final FAQs
When is the Stockholm Open 2026 final?
On Saturday 14 November at the Royal Tennis Hall in Stockholm. The semi-finals are on Friday 13 November.
Who is in the Stockholm Open semi-finals?
Taylor Fritz plays Lorenzo Musetti, and Alejandro Tabilo plays Thiago Agustín Tirante, all on Friday 13 November.
What is the head-to-head between Fritz and Musetti?
Musetti leads 5-3. He won their last two meetings, at the 2026 Australian Open and in the 2026 Lyon final, and Fritz won their meeting at the 2025 ATP Finals.
Who won the Stockholm Open in 2025?
Casper Ruud, who beat Ugo Humbert 6-2, 6-3 in the final. He lost in the second round this year to the qualifier Aleksandr Shevchenko.
Where can I watch the Stockholm Open final in the UK?
The Stockholm Open is live on Sky Sports Tennis and NOW in the UK.
More Coverage
Read our Stockholm Open 2026 preview and our earlier Stockholm Open betting tips, and follow the Stockholm Open hub. For next week, see our ATP Finals betting tips. Every event we follow is in the tournaments index, and the dates are in the 2026 tennis calendar.