WTA Finals
The WTA Finals semi-finals are on Saturday 14 November in Indian Wells. Jessica Pegula plays Mirra Andreeva, and Linda Nosková plays the winner of Friday night’s match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina. These are our picks for both semi-finals and the title, written on Friday morning UK time. The figures for the week come from the WTA match statistics.
Our WTA Finals betting tips have followed the event day by day. Before it began we picked Sabalenka for the title. Since then Andreeva has beaten her 6-4, 6-0, and Coco Gauff, our pick for second place in Group 1, went out on sets won despite winning two of her three matches.
The Semi-Finals
| Match | Day | Head-to-head |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula (5) v Mirra Andreeva (3) | Saturday 14 November | First singles meeting |
| Linda Nosková (8) v Aryna Sabalenka (2) or Elina Svitolina (6) | Saturday 14 November | Sabalenka leads 3-0; Nosková leads Svitolina 2-1 |
Play has started at noon in Indian Wells, 8pm UK time, on every day so far, and the semi-final order of play is set after Friday’s matches. The final is on Sunday 15 November. The WTA Finals are live on Sky Sports Tennis and NOW in the UK, and our how to watch tennis guide has the details.
Pegula v Andreeva Prediction
Mirra Andreeva has been the best player in Indian Wells. On her singles debut at the WTA Finals she beat Elina Svitolina 6-4, 6-0 and Aryna Sabalenka 6-4, 6-0, losing eight games in two matches and winning the last 11 against Sabalenka after trailing 4-1. She has been broken once in 16 service games, has won 86% of her first-serve points and has won 55% of the points on her opponents’ serve. She won Group 2 with a match to spare, so Friday’s match against Karolína Muchová does not affect her place.
Jessica Pegula has had to fight. She lost to Coco Gauff in three sets, beat Marta Kostyuk 6-2, 7-5, and then beat Linda Nosková 7-6(2), 4-6, 7-5 on Thursday after saving a match point, with a career-high 16 aces. That is almost seven hours on court across three matches. She has been broken 14 times in 42 service games and has saved 21 of the 35 break points she has faced.
This is their first singles meeting; they have only played each other in doubles. Pegula has the experience, but Andreeva is returning better, serving better and has had an easier week.
Pick: Mirra Andreeva to beat Jessica Pegula.
Nosková v Sabalenka or Svitolina Prediction
Linda Nosková, the Wimbledon champion, won Group 1 on her debut. She beat Kostyuk 6-2, 6-4 and Gauff 6-3, 6-3 before losing to Pegula, and she topped the group on the percentage of sets won after all three of them finished on two wins. She has hit 20 aces and been broken eight times in 35 service games.
If Aryna Sabalenka beats Svitolina, Nosková faces the player who has won all three of their meetings, including the Indian Wells semi-final in March, 6-3, 6-4 on these courts, and the US Open quarter-final in August, 7-6(1), 3-6, 7-6(7). Sabalenka went on to win the title here in March. But she has been broken nine times in 20 service games this week, the highest rate of any player still in the event.
If Elina Svitolina wins, Nosková leads their head-to-head 2-1, with wins at the 2024 Australian Open and in Monterrey in 2024, although Svitolina won their most recent meeting, on clay in Stuttgart in April. Svitolina lost 6-4, 6-0 to Andreeva and came from a set down to beat Muchová.
Against Svitolina, Nosková would be our pick. Against Sabalenka the record says otherwise, but the way Sabalenka has served this week, we still think Nosková can reach the final.
Pick: Linda Nosková to reach the final.
WTA Finals Winner Prediction
Andreeva is now the player we would back for the title. She has won both her matches in straight sets, including the 6-4, 6-0 win over Sabalenka, and she is the best server and returner left on the numbers from this week. Her Friday match against Muchová has nothing riding on it for her. If Sabalenka gets through on Friday she stays a live outsider, but she will need to serve far better than she has so far.
Pick: Mirra Andreeva to win the WTA Finals.
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FAQ
WTA Finals Semi-Final FAQs
When are the WTA Finals 2026 semi-finals?
On Saturday 14 November at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden. The final is on Sunday 15 November.
Who is in the WTA Finals semi-finals?
Mirra Andreeva, Jessica Pegula and Linda Nosková, plus the winner of Aryna Sabalenka against Elina Svitolina on Friday 13 November. Pegula plays Andreeva, and Nosková plays Sabalenka or Svitolina.
Have Pegula and Andreeva played before?
Not in singles. Saturday’s semi-final is their first singles meeting; they have only met in doubles.
Why did Coco Gauff go out of the WTA Finals?
Gauff, Nosková and Pegula all finished Group 1 with two wins, and the places were decided on the percentage of sets won. Nosková was first, Pegula second and Gauff third.
Where can I watch the WTA Finals semi-finals in the UK?
The WTA Finals are live on Sky Sports Tennis and NOW in the UK.
More Coverage
Read our WTA Finals betting tips and follow the WTA Finals hub for results. For the men’s event in Turin, see our ATP Finals betting tips. Every event we follow is in the tournaments index, and the dates are in the 2026 tennis calendar.