French Open 2026 outright tips: the men’s final four is set, and it is wide open. Pre-tournament favourite Jannik Sinner (R2), 24-time major champion Novak Djokovic (R3) and two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz (withdrew) are all long gone, so Roland-Garros is guaranteed a first-time French Open champion. Alexander Zverev — the only man left to have reached a major final — meets Jakub Menšík, while Italy is guaranteed a finalist as Matteo Arnaldi faces Flavio Cobolli. Below: the semi-final outright market and where the value lies.
Sister tips articles: women’s outright tips | each-way value picks | specials & player markets | semi-finals preview.
French Open 2026 Men’s Outright Odds (Semi-Finals)
The market with four men left. Odds approximate, at time of writing.
| Player | Approx Odds | Status |
| Alexander Zverev | 8/13 | Favourite; only SF finalist; SF v Menšík |
| Flavio Cobolli | 3/1 | First major SF; SF v Arnaldi |
| Jakub Menšík | 7/2 | Beat de Minaur, Rublev & Fonseca; SF v Zverev |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 9/2 | Beat Tiafoe & Berrettini; SF v Cobolli |
Zverev: The Man to Beat
Alexander Zverev is the only man left to have contested a Grand Slam final (Roland-Garros 2024) and a former semi-finalist here too. With Sinner, Djokovic and Alcaraz all gone, the German has the serve, stamina and clay pedigree to finally convert favouritism into a maiden title. He faces big-serving Jakub Menšík first. Tip: Zverev outright (around 8/13).
The All-Italian Semi and the First-Time-Champion Guarantee
Whoever lifts the Coupe des Mousquetaires will be a first-time Roland-Garros champion. Italy is guaranteed a finalist: Flavio Cobolli, who beat Auger-Aliassime to reach a maiden major semi, meets Matteo Arnaldi, who outlasted Tiafoe and saw off Berrettini. Cobolli is the value pick of the two to make the final. Tip: Cobolli each-way / to reach the final.
Women’s Outright — First-Time Champion Too
The women’s draw is also guaranteed a maiden Grand Slam winner after world No.1 Aryna Sabalenka was stunned by Diana Shnaider. Mirra Andreeva is the favourite — see our women’s outright tips for the full semi-final breakdown.
French Open 2026: Our Tips Summary
- Men’s outright: Alexander Zverev — the right favourite in a blown-open draw (around 8/13).
- Men’s value: Cobolli and Menšík to reach the final at bigger prices.
- Women’s: see our women’s tips — Andreeva the favourite; first-time champion guaranteed.
18+ | Please Gamble Responsibly | Odds approximate at time of writing — always check the operator for the latest price.
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Place your French Open 2026 bets at Bet365
18+ | Please Gamble Responsibly | Odds approximate at time of writing, check Bet365 for latest prices
French Open 2026 Outright Betting Tips FAQs
Who is the favourite for French Open 2026?
Alexander Zverev is the men’s favourite — the only semi-finalist to have reached a Grand Slam final, after Sinner (R2), Djokovic (R3) and the absent Alcaraz all exited. The draw is guaranteed a first-time Roland-Garros champion. On the women’s side Mirra Andreeva heads the market after Sabalenka, Świątek and Gauff all went out.
Who are the French Open 2026 men's semi-finalists?
Alexander Zverev v Jakub Menšík, and Matteo Arnaldi v Flavio Cobolli (an all-Italian semi-final). All four are chasing a maiden Grand Slam title.
When is the French Open 2026 men's final?
Sunday 7 June 2026 at Stade Roland-Garros, Paris.
How can I watch in the UK?
TNT Sports and Discovery+ have the UK rights to the French Open. Bet365 live streaming is also available to account holders.