Beyond the outright winner, Roland-Garros 2026 carries a deep range of special markets. At the semi-final stage the story is historic: with no former Grand Slam champion left in either draw, Roland-Garros is guaranteed first-time champions on BOTH the men’s and women’s sides. Below: the first-time-champion markets, to-reach-the-final value and who wins each semi-final.
For our headline analysis see our men’s outright tips and women’s outright tips; for value across both draws, our each-way value picks; and the full semi-finals preview.
What Are Tennis Special Markets?
Tennis specials are any market that isn’t a match-result or outright-winner bet — to reach the final/SF, “first-time champion” yes/no, top-nation markets, most aces and longest match. They often offer better value than the headline market. At the semi-final stage the live specials are the to-reach-the-final and first-time-champion markets.
First-Time Grand Slam Champion: Now Guaranteed (Both Draws)
This is the special of the tournament. None of the eight semi-finalists has ever won a major, so the “first-time Grand Slam champion” YES market has effectively landed on both sides. Men: Alexander Zverev, Jakub Menšík, Matteo Arnaldi, Flavio Cobolli. Women: Mirra Andreeva, Marta Kostyuk, Diana Shnaider, Maja Chwalińska. Roland-Garros 2026 will crown two maiden Slam champions.
To Reach the Final
The cleanest remaining special: back a semi-finalist to reach the final (often better priced than the to-win-title market).
| Semi-Final | To Reach Final (value) | Read |
| Zverev v Menšík | Zverev 8/13 | Experience & only finalist left |
| Arnaldi v Cobolli | Cobolli 5/6 | Edges a tight all-Italian semi |
| Andreeva v Kostyuk | Andreeva 8/13 | Hasn’t dropped a set |
| Shnaider v Chwalińska | Shnaider 1/3 | Class edge over the qualifier |
Our pick: Cobolli to reach the final (around 5/6). The all-Italian semi is the tightest of the four, and Cobolli’s hard-hitting baseline game just edges it for a first Grand Slam final.
Who Wins Each Semi-Final — Best Value
If you fancy an underdog: Jakub Menšík (around 7/2 to beat Zverev) has the serve to cause an upset, and Marta Kostyuk (around 6/4 to beat Andreeva) is in the form of her life. Maja Chwalińska, the world No.114 qualifier, is the long-shot of the four semi-finalists.
Our French Open 2026 Specials: Summary
- First-time GS champion (both draws): YES — guaranteed; none of the eight semi-finalists has won a major.
- To reach the final: Cobolli (around 5/6) is the value pick.
- Upset watch: Menšík over Zverev; Kostyuk over Andreeva.
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Place your French Open 2026 bets at Bet365
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French Open 2026 Specials FAQs
What are tennis special markets?
Tennis specials are any market that isn’t a basic match-winner or outright bet — “to reach the final”, “first-time champion”, top-nation markets, most aces and longest match. They often offer better value than the headline markets.
Why is the "first-time Grand Slam champion" market settled at Roland-Garros 2026?
None of the eight semi-finalists — Zverev, Menšík, Arnaldi, Cobolli, Andreeva, Kostyuk, Shnaider or Chwalińska — has ever won a major, so both the men’s and women’s titles will go to a first-time Grand Slam champion.
When are the French Open 2026 finals?
Women’s final Saturday 6 June, men’s final Sunday 7 June 2026 at Stade Roland-Garros, Paris.