Betting Tips
Saturday’s slip came apart, and Tuesday offers the chance to make it back: eight quarter-finals across Montreal and Toronto, and for once the men’s draw is the harder read of the two. One leg from four landed at the weekend, so this week’s four are picked with a little more caution and a lot more respect for how open the bottom half of Montreal has become.
For the wider picture, our National Bank Open preview breaks down the draw, the National Bank Open betting tips page carries the outright angles, and there is a prize money breakdown plus a live stream guide. The hub is at National Bank Open.
How Saturday’s Slip Landed: 1/4
A bad afternoon. Three of the four went down, and the two we flagged as the safest were among them.
- Iga Świątek beat Marta Kostyuk 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 — a set down, then barely troubled. The one that landed.
- Jessica Pegula lost to Diana Shnaider 3-6, 3-6. No comeback this time; the third seed never got into it.
- Aryna Sabalenka lost to Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-6(3), 4-6, 6-4 in the night session — the world No. 1 out, and the anchor leg gone with her.
- Amanda Anisimova lost to Elina Svitolina 2-6, 4-6. We called this the coin-flip and said to leave it out of a three-leg version. That advice stands up better than the pick did.
Tuesday’s Acca: Four Legs from the Quarter-Finals
Two from Toronto, two from Montreal, taken from the official quarter-final draws. Times are Central European.
Leg 1 — Iga Świątek to beat Diana Shnaider
Center Court, from 01:00. Shnaider has earned this, and taking out Pegula in straight sets is not a fluke result. But Świątek has now won six of her last seven sets in Toronto and solved a genuinely awkward opponent in Kostyuk after dropping the first. The anchor again, and this time on firmer ground.
Leg 2 — Ben Shelton to beat Jakub Menšík
The defending champion is the highest seed left in Montreal and the only one of the pre-tournament fancies still standing. He came through João Fonseca in the last 16, which was the toughest draw anyone in that quarter got. Menšík is a real talent with a Masters title already, so this is no formality — but Shelton’s serve on a quick court, in defence of a title, is the strongest single argument on the card.
Leg 3 — Coco Gauff to beat Belinda Bencic
Gauff is the world No. 4 and the highest-ranked player left in the Toronto draw after Sabalenka’s exit. Bencic has been excellent this week, beating Taylor Townsend and then Alex Eala, and she is not somebody you want to face with a lead to protect. Gauff’s movement and return should be the difference over three sets.
Leg 4 — Elena Rybakina to beat Naomi Osaka
Being straight about this one, as we were last week: this is the coin-flip, and it is the leg most likely to cost you the slip. Two of the biggest hitters in the game, and Osaka has already beaten a world No. 1 this season. Rybakina gets the nod as the second seed and on the better 2026 body of work. If you want a three-leg version, this is the one to leave out.
A note on the one we are avoiding: Rafael Jódar against Arthur Fils is the most interesting tie of the round and the least predictable. Jódar has beaten the No. 8 and No. 11 seeds to get here. Watch it, don’t back it.
A note on prices: we are not quoting odds on this slip because the quarter-final markets were still moving when it was written. Check the current price on each leg before you place it — the selections are the tip, not the number.
Place this bet with: Back this acca with Paddy Power
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