ATP China Open
The ATP China Open 2026 will have a new champion, with Jannik Sinner out of the draw, and Alexander Zverev is the man to beat in Beijing. Here are our outright picks, the each-way angles and the first-round matches worth a look.
Result, 6 October: Novak Djokovic won his seventh China Open title when Alex de Minaur retired injured in the final, trailing 7-6(3), 0-1. None of our three picks came through: Djokovic beat Zverev in the quarter-finals, and both each-way picks lost in the first round. Our final preview and the list of China Open winners have the detail, and the analysis below was written when the draw came out.
Zverev Is the One to Beat
Zverev has won two Grand Slam titles this year, Roland-Garros and the US Open, and he clinched the Laver Cup for Team Europe in London by beating Learner Tien 7-6(3), 6-3. He is the top seed and the world No. 2, and nobody else in this field has had a year like it.
The case against is the draw. Novak Djokovic, the six-time champion, is seeded to meet him in the quarter-finals, and Alex de Minaur beat him at the Laver Cup. Zverev is the right favourite, but a top seed at a short price rarely leaves much value, so we want something alongside him.
Our Outright Picks
Alexander Zverev
Update: this pick has gone. Zverev beat Cameron Norrie and Juncheng Shang, then lost 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 to Novak Djokovic in the quarter-finals. The reasoning we gave before the tournament is left below.
The form pick. He opens against Cameron Norrie, and nothing in his section before Djokovic should trouble him if he plays to his level of the last four months.
Learner Tien, each-way
Update: this pick has gone. Tien lost 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 to Hubert Hurkacz in the first round. The reasoning we gave before the tournament is left below.
Tien reached the final here last year, losing 6-2, 6-2 to Sinner, and returns as the No. 7 seed on a wildcard. He beat Flavio Cobolli at the Laver Cup, and his section is open: Hubert Hurkacz first, then most likely Félix Auger-Aliassime or Karen Khachanov in the quarter-finals. He is in the bottom half, away from Zverev and Djokovic, which is exactly where an each-way bet wants to be.
Flavio Cobolli, each-way
Update: this pick has gone. Cobolli lost 6-3, 6-2 to Roman Safiullin in the first round. The reasoning we gave before the tournament is left below.
The No. 4 seed was runner-up at Roland-Garros and reached a career-high world No. 6 after the Cincinnati semi-finals. His quarter includes Andrey Rublev and Roman Safiullin, who both reached the Hangzhou semi-finals the week before, and de Minaur. A fresh Cobolli has a realistic route to the last four.
The Djokovic Question
Djokovic has the best record in the tournament’s history, with six titles and 29 match wins according to the ATP, but he arrives after a first-round loss to Mariano Navone at the US Open. We would not back him at the price his Beijing record usually earns, and we would not oppose him in a single match either.
Players to Oppose
Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev met in the Hangzhou final on 29 September, which Medvedev won 7-5, 6-4, the day before Beijing’s main draw started, so both arrived with almost no time to adjust to a new venue. Medvedev’s opener is against the qualifier Pablo Carreño Busta, which helps, but we would not back either man for the title.
First-Round Matches Worth a Look
- Alexander Bublik v Jakub Menšík (8): the most unpredictable match in the draw, and Menšík’s serve makes him the safer side.
- Félix Auger-Aliassime (2) v Karen Khachanov: the hardest opener any of the top four seeds had, against a US Open semi-finalist, and Khachanov won it 6-3, 6-3.
- Alex de Minaur (5) v Mariano Navone: Navone beat Djokovic in New York, but de Minaur’s hard-court record makes him the stronger side.
- Learner Tien (7) v Hubert Hurkacz: the first test of whether last year’s run can be repeated.
How We Would Play It
Zverev to win outright, with smaller each-way stakes on Tien and Cobolli. Check how many places the each-way terms pay before you stake, because the terms for smaller events vary between bookmakers.
Compare prices across our best tennis betting sites and check the current tennis betting offers before staking. 18+, please gamble responsibly.
FAQ
ATP China Open Betting FAQs
Who is the favourite for the ATP China Open 2026?
Alexander Zverev was the top seed and our pick to win, after titles at Roland-Garros and the US Open this year. He lost to Novak Djokovic in the quarter-finals, and Djokovic went on to win the title.
Is Jannik Sinner playing in Beijing?
No. The defending champion is not in the 2026 draw, so the title will change hands.
Who won the ATP China Open in 2025?
Jannik Sinner, who beat Learner Tien 6-2, 6-2 in the final. Tien is the No. 7 seed in 2026.
Where can I bet on the ATP China Open?
Compare markets across our best tennis betting sites and check the latest tennis betting offers. 18+, please gamble responsibly.
More Coverage
Read our ATP China Open 2026 preview for the full draw, schedule and UK start times, the prize money breakdown and the list of ATP China Open winners. For Tokyo in the same week, see our Japan Open betting tips. Full coverage sits on our ATP China Open hub, and every event we follow is in the tournaments index and the 2026 tennis calendar. For the title match, see our Djokovic v de Minaur final preview, and our report on the Medvedev disqualification covers the semi-final.